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10 December 2019
FITTER. BETTER. HAPPIER.
NIAID/Victor Tangermann
Studies

A New Pandemic Could Kill 80 Million People, Experts Warn

"The world is not prepared."
by Kristin Houser / September 20 2019

Are we ready for the next global pandemic? Maybe not.

Let’s back up, though. In 2018, the World Health Organization and the World Bank co-convened the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), an independent group of experts focused on global health emergencies.

On Wednesday, the GPMB published a report assessing the world’s current preparedness for a major health crisis and — spoiler alert — things aren’t looking great.

After taking into account everything from emerging political trends to climate change, the team concluded that “there is a very real threat of a rapidly moving, highly lethal pandemic of a respiratory pathogen killing 50 to 80 million people and wiping out nearly 5 percent of the world’s economy.”

“A global pandemic on that scale would be catastrophic, creating widespread havoc, instability and insecurity,” the authors continued. “The world is not prepared.”

The world might not be prepared for such a crisis right now, but the GPMB experts think it still has time to get on the right track.

They even outlined seven specific actions world leaders could take to increase our preparedness, including the full implementation of International Health Regulations, increased investment in vaccine research and development, and the establishment of strong national preparedness systems.

“For too long, we have allowed a cycle of panic and neglect when it comes to pandemics: we ramp up efforts when there is a serious threat, then quickly forget about them when the threat subsides,” the report’s authors wrote. “It is well past time to act.”

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