--- title: "Harvard Scholars Suggest Pollsters Ask Questions to AI Simulations of Voters Because Real People Won’t Answer The Phone" description: "With just a fraction of people responding to political polls, Harvard experts are suggesting that pollsters \"call\" AI chatbots instead. " date: "2024-06-16" modified: "2024-06-16" authors: - name: "Noor Al-Sibai" job_title: "Senior Staff Writer" link: "https://futurism.com/authors/nooralsibai" url: "https://futurism.com/the-byte/harvard-experts-polling-ai" categories: - "Artificial Intelligence" tags: - "chatbots" - "politics" - "polling" - "the digest" --- # Harvard Scholars Suggest Pollsters Ask Questions to AI Simulations of Voters Because Real People Won’t Answer The Phone ![With just a fraction of people responding to political polls, Harvard experts are suggesting that pollsters "call" AI chatbots instead. ]() *\Image: Getty / Futurism\* ## Poll Me This With just a small fraction of people picking up their phones for political polling, Harvard experts are suggesting that pollsters "call" artificial intelligence simulations of voters instead. In a [new editorial](), a group of policy and computer science scholars from Harvard's Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation insist that the [already-unreliable system of polling]() can only be enhanced by asking AI chatbots poll questions instead of humans. As the Ash experts point out, [Pew found in 2019]() — via polling, of course — that only six percent of people responded to political polling calls. That unsurprising figure could well suggest that [polling is on its way out](), but to these Harvard researchers, it contains the promise of an algorithmic future for the industry. And what of the systematic wrongness seemingly inherent in AI, as evidenced by the many instances of chatbots "[hallucinating]()"? According to these scholars, that will go away "over time" as AI gets better at "anticipating human responses, and also at knowing when they will be most wrong or uncertain." We might not hold our breath. ## Wrong Is Right In a study [published by the *Harvard Data Science Review*]() last fall, editorial writers Nathan Sanders and Bruce Schneier said that when they posed typical polling questions to ChatGPT and instructed it to respond from various political perspectives, the chatbot generally responded the way humans would the majority of the time. ChatGPT's only slip-up, as the researchers explained in their more recent writing, occurred when they had the chatbot cosplay as a liberal voter and asked it about American support for [Ukraine against the Russian invasion](). As Sanders and Schneier observed, it likened that support to the Iraq War because it "didn’t know how the politics had changed" since 2021, when the large language model (LLM) undergirding it at the time had last been trained. "While AI polling will always have limitations in accuracy," the scholars wrote, "that makes them similar to, not different from, traditional polling." "Today’s pollsters are challenged to reach sample sizes large enough to measure statistically significant differences between similar populations," they continued, "and the issues of nonresponse and inauthentic response can make them systematically wrong." Amid ample concerns about broader misuses of AI during elections, including with the kinds of [deepfakes and disinformation]() seen in the re-election of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, this technology's use in polling could well muddy up the works even further. The message from these Harvard scholars is clear, however: polling AI is good, actually. **More on political BS:** *[Researchers Say There’s a Vulgar But More Accurate Term for AI Hallucinations]()* ## Author At Futurism, I've often been drawn to unpacking the narratives that underlie technological, scientific and medical progress, with a special interest in areas of conflict and ambiguity that end up setting agendas and steering the fates of both elites and the hoi polloi. I'm a committed generalist, but I often find myself returning to work involving NASA and the private space sector, the effects of AI on media and society, and the mechanics of the pharmaceutical industry, with a specific focus on the spread of GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy. Prior to Futurism, I worked for publications ranging from Media Matters and Truthdig to Raw Story and Bustle. I'm also the author of "Myspace Scene Queens," a 2024 title in Instar Books' acclaimed "Remember the Internet" series. My work at Futurism has been cited by outlets including the New Yorker, Slate, Nieman Lab, the Verge, the MIT Technology Review, the Sunday Times, and the Daily Beast. I grew up in North Carolina, attended the University of North Carolina at Asheville, and now live in Brooklyn, New York. In my free time, I'm an avid reader and music fan; you can probably find me at a local poetry reading, concert, underground rave, or DJ set. I'm the proud parent of an ineffable orange cat named Mee-Mow. ### Author social links [Bluesky]()