---
title: "Smoking Will Disappear Within a Generation, Experts Say"
description: "According to experts at analyst firm Jefferies, smokers may disappear from many markets, as Bloomberg reports. “With regulators and tobacco ambitions increasingly aligned, in many countries, no smokers within a generation could become a reality,”analyst Owen Bennett wrote in a recent statement. “If smoke-free is to happen, this is only achieved with the support of […]"
date: "2021-03-29"
modified: "2021-03-29"
authors:
  - name: "Victor Tangermann"
    job_title: "Senior Editor"
    link: "https://futurism.com/authors/victor"
url: "https://futurism.com/neoscope/smoking-will-disappear-within-generation-experts"
categories:
  - "Developments"
  - "Health & Medicine"
tags:
  - "cigarettes"
  - "e-cigarettes"
  - "smoking"
  - "tobacco"
  - "vapes"
---

# Smoking Will Disappear Within a Generation, Experts Say

![According to experts at analyst firm Jefferies, smokers may disappear from many markets, as Bloomberg reports.](<https://futurism.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/smoking-will-disappear-within-generation-experts.jpg>)
*\<em\>Image: Lindsay Fox via Flickr\</em\>*

According to experts at analyst firm Jefferies, [*Bloomberg* reports](<https://medicalxpress.com/news/2021-03-analysts.html>), smokers may soon be poised to disappear from many markets.

"With regulators and tobacco ambitions increasingly aligned, in many countries, no smokers within a generation could become a reality," analyst Owen Bennett wrote in a recent statement. "If smoke-free is to happen, this is only achieved with the support of \[reduced-risk products, including e-cigarettes and vapes\]."

Citigroup Inc. is also of the impression that the number of smokers will drastically be reduced in the near future. In fact, the investment bank believes smoking will [disappear by 2050](<https://thehill.com/homenews/news/543479-cigarette-smoking-could-disappear-from-us-by-2050-report>) from much of the developed world, including the US, parts of Europe, and Australia, according to *Bloomberg*. The number of children smoking dropped by almost three quarters in just 20 years.

The news symbolizes a major shift. Big Tobacco now has to reposition to stay competitive, switching from traditional tobacco products to e-cigarettes and other vapor products.

Philip Morris, for instance, signaled last summer that cigarette sales may grind to a complete halt.

"I am convinced it is possible to completely end cigarette sales in many countries within 10 to 15 years," CEO Andre Calantzopoulos wrote in a sustainability [report](<https://www.pmi.com/integrated-report-2019>) at the time.

The company is now hard at work switching its consumers over to smoke-free products. Its target: 40 million adult smokers to switch by 2025.

## Author
I've been at Futurism since 2017, where my role has evolved to encompass design, writing, and increasingly editing. I've always been fascinated by space exploration and advanced transportation, which I've leaned into by interviewing luminaries in those fields while closely following the dimensions of policy and regulation that allow next-generation projects to succeed -- or, sometimes, to fail. I'm also keenly interested in the effects of generative AI on society, policies, and democratic institutions, as well as clean energy, physics and biology, and the vagaries of tech leadership. My work for Futurism has been cited by publications including Ars Technica, Gizmodo, PC Magazine, Jalopnik, Fox News, and the New York Post. I spent my childhood living in locations including Manila, the Philippines, and Geneva, Switzerland, attended McGill University, and now live in Toronto, Canada. Before Futurism I worked at AskMen and a small photography studio. In my free time, I'm an avid gardener, foodie, and craft beer lover, as well as a maker of artisanal hot pepper sauces. I have a magnificent dog named Freida.

### Author social links  
[Bluesky](<https://bsky.app/profile/vtanger.bsky.social>)